Saturday, December 02, 2006

Updated Bowl Projections - through end of regular season

As an official hater of the BCS system, let me send out a big hardy thank you to Karl Dorrell and the UCLA Bruins! Not only has UCLA spared the nation of watching USC play for another national title, but most importantly, UCLA has sparked another huge BCS controversy. So the big question is - will it be Michigan or Florida playing Ohio State for the BCS national title? My bet is on Michigan, and I cannot wait to hear the crying from Urban Meyer. Besides the BCS drama, the final day of the regular season provided some interesting results that shook, rattled, and rolled the bowl pairings. Wake Forest, Oklahoma, and Louisville all punched their BCS bowl tickets, and Troy and Middle Tennessee State earned two bids for the Sun Belt Conference. It's going to be an exciting bowl season!

So here are this year's final, updated bowl projections...I guess we'll see just how accurate the Total System Failure bowl projections are tomorrow night!

Notes: Teams labeled with a '*' indicate teams being selected for a bowl game due to a conference not having enough bowl eligible teams.

Teams labeled with a '^' indicates a team that has already accepted a bowl bid.

Poinsetta Bowl (MWC #2/3 vs. At-Large): Texas Christian^ vs. Northern Illinois^
Las Vegas Bowl (Pac-10 #4 vs. MWC #1): Oregon^ vs. Brigham Young^
New Orleans Bowl (Sun Belt #1 vs. C-USA): Troy^ vs. Rice^
New Mexico Bowl (MWC #4 vs. WAC): New Mexico^ vs. San Jose State^
Birmingham Bowl (MAC/Big East vs. C-USA): South Florida vs. East Carolina^
Armed Forces Bowl (MWC #2/3 vs. C-USA #4): Utah^ vs. Tulsa^
Hawaii Bowl (Pac-10 #6 vs WAC): Arizona State^ vs. Hawaii^
Motor City Bowl (MAC vs. Big 10 #7): Central Michigan^ vs. Middle Tennessee State^
Emerald Bowl (ACC #4/5 vs. Pac-10 #4/5): Florida State^ vs. UCLA^
Independence Bowl (Big 12 #7/8 vs. SEC #8): Oklahoma State vs. Alabama
Texas Bowl (Big 12 vs. Big East/C-USA): Texas Tech vs. Rutgers
Holiday Bowl (Pac-10 #2 vs. Big 12 #3): California^ vs. Texas A&M^
Champs Sports Bowl (Big 10 #4/5 vs. ACC #4): Purdue^ vs. Boston College
Music City Bowl (SEC #6 vs. ACC #5/6): Kentucky vs. Maryland
Sun Bowl (Big 12/Big East vs. Pac-10 #3): West Virginia vs. Oregon State^
Insight Bowl (Big 12 #4/5 vs. Big 10 #6): Kansas State vs. Minnesota^
Alamo Bowl (Big 12 #4/5 vs. Big 10 #4/5): Missouri vs. Iowa^
Liberty Bowl (C-USA #1 vs. SEC): Houston^ vs. South Carolina
Meineke Car Care Bowl (Big East/Navy vs. ACC #5/6): Navy^ vs. Clemson
Chik-Fil-A Bowl (ACC #2 vs. SEC #5): Virginia Tech vs. Georgia
MPC Computers Bowl (WAC vs. ACC #8): Nevada^ vs. Miami(FL)^
Gator Bowl (ACC #3 vs. Big 12/Big East): Georgia Tech vs. Texas
Cotton Bowl (SEC vs. Big 12 #2): Auburn vs. Nebraska
Outback Bowl (SEC vs. Big 10 #3): Tennessee vs. Penn State^
Capital One Bowl (SEC vs. Big 10 #2): Arkansas vs. Wisconsin^
International Bowl (MAC #3 vs. Big East #4/5): Western Michigan^ vs. Cincinnati
GMAC Bowl (C-USA #2 vs. MAC): Southern Miss^ vs. Ohio^

Rose Bowl: Southern Cal vs. LSU
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Boise State
Orange Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Louisville
Sugar Bowl: Florida vs. Notre Dame
BCS Title Game: Michigan vs. Ohio State

Thursday, November 30, 2006

College Hoops Recap - November

Truly getting into college basketball in November is difficult even for the most staunch fan like myself, because the college football season is still in high gear and the bowl season is rapidly approaching. It really is hard to get excited about the Preseason NIT, the Maui Invitational, the Old Spice Classic, and the Great Alaska Shootout when this is still four months of non-stop action around the country. With college football, there are a smattering of week night games and one full day of action on Saturday. For college hoops, each team has 2 games per week typically, and ESPN, ESPN2, ESPNU, Fox Sports Net, and even local sports channels show two to three games per night. For most folks, it's hard to really get up games multiple days of the week when there's college football on Saturday and the NFL on Sunday. Hopefully, most people are like me, and by the time January rolls around, you're obsessed with college basketball.

Many of the readers of this blog know of my passion for college basketball (in spite of my wife's distaste for the sport of basketball) so over the next few months the Total System Failure blog is going to become your wall-to-wall source for interesting nuggets, tidbits, and analysis on the college hoops world. I look forward to everyone posting their comments and visiting the TSF blog throughout the season.

To start the season, here's a recap of some of musings on the first month of the college basketball season:

Team of the Month: Butler

Todd Lickliter has proven himself to be a good coach as indicated by his 2-1 record in the NCAA Tournament and his 100 plus wins in just five years as a head coach, but not even the most avid Butler fan would have expected a spot in the Top 25 and possibly even the NCAA Tournament this season. After last season's 20-13 record and appearance in the NIT, it looked like a rebuilding year for the Bulldogs as Horizon Conference player of the year Brandon Polk and both starting guards (Avery Sheets and Bruce Horan) graduated. Of course, any time you play great defense and control the tempo like Butler teams are known to do, you can play with any team in the country. However, what Butler has accomplished this season in moving to 8-0 on the season, winning the Preseason NIT, and defeated Notre Dame, Indiana, Tennessee, and Gonzaga is beyond impressive. Butler is now ranked #18 in the country and has a very good chance to spend much of the season ranked in the Top 25 as they appear to be the class of the always difficult Horizon League. The continued solid play of forwards Brandon Crone and Brian Ligon will be key, but with guards A.J. Graves and Mike Green, Butler could just be the "George Mason" of the 2006-2007 basketball season.

Player of the Month: Trey Jackson of Jackson State
Jackson State had quite the gauntlet to run to start the 2006-2007 basketball season. Games on the road against Alabama, Georgia Tech, Illinois, Memphis, and Rutgers would be enough for any major conference basketball team to navigate, so just imagine what it is like for a SWAC team. Fortunately, for head coach Tevester Anderson, he has Trey Jackson on his squad. In spite of only going 1-4 on the 5 game road trip (which ended with a 71-70 win against Rutgers), Trey Jackson put up 36 points versus Alabama, 33 points versus Georgia Tech, 27 points versus Illinois, 32 points versus Memphis, and 20 points versus Rutgers. For the season, the 6'5 senior guard is averaging 30.4 points per game in 37.9 minutes of playing time per game and is shooting 42% from the field and 37.7% from three point range. Behind the strong play of Jackson, Anderson's team is now 4-4 on the season and looks to be the class of the SWAC. Jackson is probably the best SWAC player to come along since Alabama State legend Steve Rogers, and Jackson just might have enough game to take Jackson State to its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2000.


Misc. Thoughts (aka "Free Throws")

Has a head coach ever been relieved of his coaching duties more quickly in a college basketball season than former Minnesota head coach Dan Monson? I've seen coaches fired after Christmas and during conference play, but never immediately after Thanksgiving. Monson came to Minnesota after getting the Gonzaga dynasty started. Unfortunately, he wasn't able to replicate that success with the Golden Gophers...at least, Clem Haskins got Minnesota to a Final Four, but of course, he did violate a few NCAA rules along the way. I think what hurt Monson the most was recruiting players that were 'too good' for college basketball. He'd have a good player for a year or two (Joel Pryzbilla, Kris Humphries, and Rick Rickert), and then they would bolt for the NBA. Interim head coach Jim Molinari (formerly of Bradley Brave fame) certainly isn't the long term answer, but after losing to Montana and Marist this past week, it definitely was time for a 'new voice' as Monson put it. Maybe Mark Few knows what he is doing by staying at Gonzaga...I'm sure that Monson is wishing he'd have stayed in Spokane these past six seasons.

Does Clemson have the quietest 8-0 record in college basketball? There are 26 undefeated teams currently in Division I, and there is not one team with more wins than the Clemson Tigers. Now, let's be honest - Clemson has only played two teams from major conferences (Mississippi State and the aforementioned Minnesota Golden Gophers), but they are dominating teams that they should (such as Monmouth, Charleston Southern, and Appalachian State) and winning on the road against solid teams. Clemson defeated an Old Dominion team that went on the road and beat Georgetown. With a solid senior point guard in Vernon Hamilton and a deep bench where 9 players are averaging more than 10 points per game, Oliver Purnell has got a team that could cause some problems in the always tough ACC. Clemson should easily clear the double digit mark in wins prior to the start of conference play and even finishing 0.500 in the ACC could put Clemson in the race for their first NCAA Tournament appearance in 8 years.

As a Georgetown basketball fan, I've got to give a shout out to the job that former Hoya Harold Broadnax is doing at Savannah State. Prior to this season, Savannah State had a record of 2-56 over the past two seasons. Playing less than stellar competition, the Tigers are 5-5 through the end of November. Wins over Jacksonville and Mercer and close losses to SWAC favorite Jackson State, Florida A&M, and Georgia State indicate that Savannah State is improving in its second year under the direction of Broadnax. Now, let's be honest for a second.....Savannah State is not a good basketball team and several bad losses are on the way with upcoming road games against North Carolina State, West Virginia, Marquette, Nebraska, and Louisville to name a few. Nevertheless, Broadnax is doing things the right way down in coastal Georgia, and better things are to come for the Tigers.

Speaking of the Hoya basketball....what a disappointing start to the season! Some pundits were talking about the Hoyas being a possible Final 4 contender, but those so-called experts didn't realize just how important Brandon Bowman and Ashanti Cook were to the team. In my opinion, Jeff Green is a complimentary player and not a star player. Green does a lot of things well, but carrying a team and scoring a ton of points are his strengths. Roy Hibbert is still too awkward and foul prone to dominate games like past Hoya centers, and Jonathan Wallace is the only consistent backcourt threat. John Thompson III has a lot to try and figure out with this team, because this supposedly great team has only looked good in its game against Vanderbilt (which has since lost to Wake Forest and Furman). Sure, Old Dominion played a near perfect half of basketball to beat the Hoyas at McDonough Gym, but Oregon exposed the Hoyas. Oregon's lineup did not nearly have the size of the Hoyas, but the Ducks out hustled and outplayed the Hoyas on the offensive glass. From what I saw in the Oregon game, the Hoyas look like a NIT team this season.

It's time to give Mike Anderson some serious credit. The guy can flat out coach. Even with a cupcake schedule, Missouri has no business being 8-0. When Missouri was just 7-0 after beating the likes of Army, Stetson, Coppin State, and North Carolina A&T, I wasn't that impressed. But then, Anderson's team showed Arkansas what 40 minutes of hell is really like when they dominated the Razorbacks from start to finish and won 86-64 in Columbia. Now, it's time to stand up and notice what Mike Anderson is doing with the Tigers. Upcoming games with an improved Purdue team and Illinois will tell us even more about Missouri, but after the first month of the season, people in the Big 12 better be ready for Mike Anderson's style of ball.

This will sound like a cliche - but Gonzaga is becoming the Duke of the West Coast. The cast of characters constantly changes and the superstars come and go, but the wins just keep on piling up. Gonzaga will get another chance to prove itself in early December with a road game at Texas and two games against their in-state rivals (7-0 Washington State and #11 ranked 6-0 Washington), but after beating North Carolina on a neutral floor, I think the Zags have proved that there is life after Adam Morrison. Mark Few needs to just stay in Spokane and just enjoy the fruits of his labor. His program is not about to go anywhere, and sooner or later, the Zags are going to break through to the Final Four and permanently legitimize this program.

A 6-2 start to the season is something to be proud of if you're a basketball fan of Auburn University. Times have been tough under Jeff Lebo, and for some reason, he's under a little heat this year in spite of inheriting a program at rock bottom after the Cliff Ellis era. With a new arena on the way (Praise the Lord, Hallejuah!), I think people are going to see an upswing in the excitement around this program. Vot Barber and Rasheem Barrett are establishing themselves as dominant SEC-caliber players, and more help is on the way once Quan Prowell and Josh Dollard return to action. The real key for the Tigers is trying to find a way to cut down on the number of turnovers. These games of 19 and 20 plus turnovers have got to stop if Auburn is going to find a way to make it to the postseason. Also, the free throw shooting woes that have plagued Auburn basketball since the days of Cliff Ellis have to stop. With the talent that Lebo is starting to bring to the Plains, there are going to be some close SEC games on the road and in Beard-Eaves Colesium this season...and Auburn needs to steal some of those wins to reach the NIT or even the NCAA Tournament, but free throw shooting will be key. It'll be truly interesting to see just how far the Tigers have come since last year when they host Pitt on Sunday.

College basketball is truly a fun sport to follow....just take the Kansas Jayhawks. The second game of the season, Oral Roberts strolls into Phog Allen Fieldhouse and does a number of the Rock,Chalk, Jayhawks by winning 78-71. Kansas fans are beside themselves with Coach Bill Self and down on their beloved Jayhawks, especially after just getting by Ball State. Then, you've got a shot against the #1 team in the country on a neutral floor. All of the media experts and ESPN talking heads are hyping this game like the Ohio State-Michigan football game, and the Gators appear to ready to roll. But then, Kansas plays an almost flawless game - only 12 turnovers, 54% field goal shooting, outrebounds the Gators by 2 - and ends up knocking off the #1 ranked Gators. It truly was one of the great early season games that I've had the pleasure of watching in quite some time. I still think that the Gators will fail in their quest to repeat as national champs, and I don't think either the Jayhawks or Gators will even make the Final 4 this season, but both teams gave us a taste of March Madness caliber hoops in November.

And now, after one month of action, the Total System Failure Top 25:

1. Ohio State
2. UCLA
3. Florida
4. North Carolina
5. Pittsburgh
6. Kansas
7. Texas A&M
8. Alabama
9. Marquette
10. Washington
11. Duke
12. Syracuse
13. Wisconsin
14. Butler
15. LSU
16. Maryland
17. Georgia Tech
18. Connecticut
19. Arizona
20. Gonzaga
21. Memphis
22. Wichita State
23. Oregon
24. Air Force
25. Missouri

Wednesday, November 29, 2006

Thoughts on the College Football Coaching Changes

While most of us are preparing for the holiday season and enjoying some well deserved time off with family, the coaching staffs at many major universities are getting some not so welcomed vacations as the crescendo of the annual marathon of head coach firings is upon us. So far, 11 head coaching positions have opened up across the country either through firings, resignations, or actually leaving for another job.

The firings to this point have included: Mike Shula at Alabama, John L. Smith at Michigan State, Dirk Koetter at Arizona State, Larry Coker at Miami(FL), John Bunting at North Carolina, Chuck Amato at North Carolina State, Chris Scelfo at Tulane, Darrell Dickey at North Texas. Iowa State head coach Dan McCarney resigned from his position in Ames after a disappointing season, and Florida International head coach Don Strock resigned in the aftermath of the brawl with Miami(FL). Only Cincinnati head coach Mark Dantonio left his position of his own accord, and that was to take the head coaching job at Michigan State.

In my opinion, some of the firings were justified. The administrations at North Carolina, Michigan State, North Carolina State, and Arizona State all made solid decisions to replace their head coaches. Here are some of my thoughts on each of those firings and what is in store for these coaches:

At Michigan State, John L. Smith only had one winning season in his four years in East Lasing, and the Spartans still have fond memories of their program under the direction of Nick Saban, so sending Smith packing makes sense...especially when you consider the collapse the Spartans had against Notre Dame and its homecoming loss to Illinois! John L. Smith will find another head coaching position in a couple of years. He has had too much previous success to not coach again.

For North Carolina State, the post-Phillip Rivers era proved too much for Amato, and only having 1 winning season in the last three years (not to mention losing the last seven games of this season) sealed his fate. If only Amato could have gotten his Wolfpack to be a team other than Florida State, he might have kept his job. I think the next place we'll see ole Chuckie (as my co-worker and NC State alum Angela calls him) is on "What Not to Wear" so that he can get some fashion assistance for his choice in eyewear.

And poor John Bunting...he was just a bad hire from day one for the Tar Heels. I remember when he was just a linebackers coach for the New Orleans Saints, and I thought he was atrocious. Maybe North Carolina should have fired Bunting earlier in the season because the Tar Heels looked strong in its two game win streak to end the year. I'm sure that Bunting will find his way back onto a NFL staff at some point in the next couple of years.

Dirk Koetter at Arizona State? Well, he pretty much wrote his own pink slip with his botching of the quarterback situation for the Sun Devils this season, but even more damning was his 2-19 record versus ranked opponents and lack of New Years Day (or BCS) bowl appearances. 40 wins in 6 years when you have an athletic director who just arrived from a winning program at USC doesn't equate to much job security. Koetter will be coaching somewhere again after the 2007 season.



The other firings...well, I'm not sure that I'm as sold on those decisions. Of all the coaches that were unjustly unemployed this holiday season, former Iowa State head coach Dan McCarney has the biggest gripe. He honestly got a raw deal from Athletic Director Jamie Pollard. Pollard is obviously trigger happy when it comes to head coaches as three Iowa State head coaches have been replaced since Pollard took over in late 2005. I wrote about McCarney and what he has accomplished in Ames, Iowa in a previous blog, so I won't go through all of his accomplishments again, but to fire a man that doubled the number of the school's bowl appearances in 12 years is beyond absured. I think Gene Chizik is going to make a great head coach for the Cyclones, but Chizik should be getting his first head coaching job somewhere over than Ames, Iowa.

Right beyond Dan McCarney in the ridiculous coaching firing rankings is Tulane's Chris Scelfo. Sure, Scelfo had not had a winning season since 2002 and only went 37-57 in his 8 years in New Orleans, but this is a program that is having to start from scratch after the effects of Hurricane Katrina. It's almost as if the Tulane program is coming off of the death penalty, and to fire the head coach after such a trying season in 2005 and a mediocre 2006 season is beyond rational thought. And again, this is Tulane football we're talking about...and other than the magical undefeated season under Tommy Bowden in 1998, Tulane has never been anything special. Mediocrity is what should be expected for the Green Wave football program.

Another coaching dismissal that truly baffles me is North Texas firing Darrell Dickey. Just two years ago, the North Texas football program was the powerhouse of the Sun Belt Conference. Under Darrell Dickey, the Mean Green won four...yes, FOUR...straight conference titles and earned the automatic bid to the New Orleans Bowl. In 2002, Dickey won 9 games at North Texas...something the school had not accomplished since 1978 when it was only a Division 1-AA program. Yes, Dickey's team went 2-9 last season and went 3-9 this season, but to fire Dickey after only two bad seasons and after he just had a heart attack last month was uncalled for.

And then, there are the firings of Mike Shula and Larry Coker. To be honest, I think both of them should have kept their jobs. Okay, one of the reasons that I believe Mike Shula should have kept his job is that he makes it easier for Auburn to continue to dominate the Crimson Tide. But seriously, Alabama is a program that needs to show some stability to its players, its potential recruits, its fanbase, and the college football world. Alabama is not going to find another "Bear" Bryant. Those glory days are over, and Alabama fans need to face that reality. Shula took a job in Tuscaloosa that no one else wanted the job in May 2003 after the Mike Price debacle. And now, Alabama is searching for its 4th head coach in six years....and their 8th head coach since Bryant left in 1982. The average tenure of Alabama head coaches in the post-Bryant era is 3 years. Shula had a 10 win season last year, but of course, his inability to beat Auburn or LSU cost him his job. I'm just in awe of what the Alabama administration and boosters really thought that a guy with no previous head coaching experience at any level was going to accomplish in 4 years by taking over a program coming off major NCAA recruiting violations. Shula, at the very least, deserved one more year to turn things around.

I truly feel bad for Larry Coker. I think the guy is a good coach and has had a tremendous amount of success. Coker took the Hurricanes to two BCS title games (winning one of them) and won at least 9 games in his other 3 seasons prior to this year's 6-6 finish. And I love this stat...Coker has won more games since 2001 than all but five Division 1 head coaches. I'm not sure if I can remember a coach with a 0.800 winning percentage having just one bad season, and Coker's 'bad' season is still going to result in a bowl appearance! He's just probably too understated for a flashy program like the University of Miami(FL). Let's be honest...this program has had big personalities like Jimmy Johnson, Howard Schellenberger, Butch Davis, and Dennis Erickson at the helm. Larry Coker just doesn't fit in with those guys. Add in the embarrassment of the brawl with Florida International that also claimed the coaching job of Don Strock, and it was easy for Donna Shalala to fire Coker after only one bad season. Of course, Don Strock may have just wanted out of the Florida International job after the stress of building the program from the ground up only to see his team go through a 0-12 season. But back to Coker...this was a mistake by the Miami administration. Much like Alabama, Miami(FL) is going to realize that the days of dominating the college football world are over. The ACC is a strong conference and is a significant upgrade over the Big East. Plus, it's not like the Hurricanes have amazing facilities with which to lure prize recruits. I just hope that another program gives Larry Coker another shot.

So what coaches are next on the chopping block this holiday season? If I was UAB's Watson Brown, Baylor's Guy Morriss, Stanford's Walt Harris, and New Mexico State's Hal Mumme, I might not be sleeping very well these days.

Monday, November 27, 2006

Updated Bowl Projections - through Week 13

Unless the unimaginable happens and UCLA knocks off its crosstown rival USC, then the BCS Title Game match-up has been finalized, and the world will be spared of a Ohio State-Michigan rematch. Of course, this will leave some very unhappy Gators in Florida if they manage to knock off Arkansas in the SEC Championship Game, but I don't see the Gators stopping McFadden and Company. In the non-BCS bowl scene, this weekend proved to be quite interesting as Miami(FL) wrapped up a bowl berth by shocking Boston College and Troy moved closer to its second bowl berth in school history by grabbing a share of the Sun Belt Conference lead with its victory over Middle Tennessee State. There's still a lot left to play as the last weekend of the college football regular season approaches.

So here are this week's updated bowl projections...and remember, these projections are not the kind of projections based 'if the season ended today'. Rather, the Total System Failure bowl projections are based on how I see the rest of the year playing out.

Notes: Teams labeled with a '*' indicate teams being selected for a bowl game due to a conference not having enough bowl eligible teams.

Teams labeled with a '^' indicates a team that has already accepted a bowl bid.

Poinsetta Bowl (MWC #2/3 vs. At-Large): Utah vs. UCLA
Las Vegas Bowl (Pac-10 #4 vs. MWC #1): Arizona State vs. Brigham Young^
New Orleans Bowl (Sun Belt #1 vs. C-USA): Troy vs. Tulsa
New Mexico Bowl (MWC #4 vs. WAC): New Mexico^ vs. Nevada
Birmingham Bowl (MAC/Big East vs. C-USA): South Florida vs. East Carolina
Armed Forces Bowl (MWC #2/3 vs. C-USA #4): Texas Christian vs. Rice
Hawaii Bowl (Pac-10 #6 vs WAC): Washington State vs. Hawaii^
Motor City Bowl (MAC vs. Big 10 #7): Central Michigan vs. Kansas*
Emerald Bowl (ACC #4/5 vs. Pac-10 #4/5): Florida State vs. Oregon
Independence Bowl (Big 12 #7/8 vs. SEC #8): Oklahoma State vs. Alabama
Texas Bowl (Big 12 vs. Big East/C-USA): Texas Tech vs. Rutgers
Holiday Bowl (Pac-10 #2 vs. Big 12 #3): California vs. Nebraska
Champs Sports Bowl (Big 10 #4/5 vs. ACC #4): Purdue vs. Wake Forest
Music City Bowl (SEC #6 vs. ACC #5/6): Kentucky vs. Maryland
Sun Bowl (Big 12/Big East vs. Pac-10 #3): West Virginia vs. Oregon State
Insight Bowl (Big 12 #4/5 vs. Big 10 #6): Kansas State vs. Minnesota^
Alamo Bowl (Big 12 #4/5 vs. Big 10 #4/5): Missouri vs. Iowa^
Liberty Bowl (C-USA #1 vs. SEC): Houston vs. South Carolina
Meineke Car Care Bowl (Big East/Navy vs. ACC #5/6): Navy^ vs. Boston College
Chik-Fil-A Bowl (ACC #2 vs. SEC #5): Virginia Tech vs. Georgia
MPC Computers Bowl (WAC vs. ACC #8): San Jose State vs. Miami(FL)
Gator Bowl (ACC #3 vs. Big 12/Big East): Clemson vs. Texas
Cotton Bowl (SEC vs. Big 12 #2): Auburn vs. Texas A&M
Outback Bowl (SEC vs. Big 10 #3): Tennessee vs. Penn State
Capital One Bowl (SEC vs. Big 10 #2): LSU vs. Wisconsin
International Bowl (MAC #3 vs. Big East #4/5): Western Michigan vs. Cincinnati
GMAC Bowl (C-USA #2 vs. MAC): Southern Miss vs. Ohio

Rose Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Michigan
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Boise State
Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. Florida
Sugar Bowl: Louisville vs. Arkansas
BCS Title Game: Southern Cal vs. Ohio State

Sunday, November 19, 2006

Updated Bowl Projections - through Week 12

The first piece to the BCS puzzle was set into place this past Saturday as Ohio State continued their perfect season with a 42-39 victory over Michigan. Of course, now, the media slant is on to try and manufacture a possible rematch between the Wolverines and the Buckeyes in the BCS Title Game. For some reason, these so-called 'experts' think that a game involving two teams from a mediocre conference (only 3 ranked teams!) deserve to play again. As Florida head coach Urban Meyer stated this weekend, the BCS needs to be blown up if the college football world is forced to deal with a rematch between these two teams. This weekend not only shook up the BCS picture, but several teams (Minnesota, South Carolina, UCLA, Arizona, and Kansas) moved closer to finding a bowl game for the holiday season.

So here are this week's updated bowl projections...and remember, these projections are not the kind of projections based 'if the season ended today'. Rather, the Total System Failure bowl projections are based on how I see the rest of the year playing out.

Notes:

Teams labeled with a '*' indicate teams being selected for a bowl game due to a conference not having enough bowl eligible teams.

Teams labeled with a '^' indicates a team that has already accepted a bowl bid.

Poinsetta Bowl (MWC #2/3 vs. At-Large): Utah vs. UCLA
Las Vegas Bowl (Pac-10 #4 vs. MWC #1): Arizona State vs. Brigham Young
New Orleans Bowl (Sun Belt #1 vs. C-USA): Middle Tennessee State vs. Rice
New Mexico Bowl (MWC #4 vs. WAC): New Mexico vs. Nevada
Birmingham Bowl (MAC/Big East vs. C-USA): Cincinnati vs. East Carolina
Armed Forces Bowl (MWC #2/3 vs. C-USA #4): Texas Christian vs. Tulsa
Hawaii Bowl (Pac-10 #6 vs WAC): Washington State vs. Hawaii^
Motor City Bowl (MAC vs. Big 10 #7): Central Michigan vs. Kansas*
Emerald Bowl (ACC #4/5 vs. Pac-10 #4/5): Florida State vs. Oregon State
Independence Bowl (Big 12 #7/8 vs. SEC #8): Kansas State vs. Alabama
Texas Bowl (Big 12 vs. Big East/C-USA): Texas Tech vs. South Florida
Holiday Bowl (Pac-10 #2 vs. Big 12 #3): California vs. Nebraska
Champs Sports Bowl (Big 10 #4/5 vs. ACC #4): Iowa vs. Boston College
Music City Bowl (SEC #6 vs. ACC #5/6): Kentucky vs. Maryland
Sun Bowl (Big 12/Big East vs. Pac-10 #3): Rutgers vs. Oregon
Insight Bowl (Big 12 #4/5 vs. Big 10 #6): Missouri vs. Minnesota
Alamo Bowl (Big 12 #4/5 vs. Big 10 #4/5): Texas A&M vs. Purdue
Liberty Bowl (C-USA #1 vs. SEC): Houston vs. South Carolina
Meineke Car Care Bowl (Big East/Navy vs. ACC #5/6): Navy^ vs. Wake Forest
Chik-Fil-A Bowl (ACC #2 vs. SEC #5): Virginia Tech vs. Georgia
MPC Computers Bowl (WAC vs. ACC #8): San Jose State vs. Arizona*
Gator Bowl (ACC #3 vs. Big 12/Big East): Clemson vs. West Virginia
Cotton Bowl (SEC vs. Big 12 #2): Auburn vs. Oklahoma
Outback Bowl (SEC vs. Big 10 #3): Tennessee vs. Penn State
Capital One Bowl (SEC vs. Big 10 #2): LSU vs. Wisconsin
International Bowl (MAC #3 vs. Big East #4/5): Western Michigan vs. Pittsburgh
GMAC Bowl (C-USA #2 vs. MAC): Southern Miss vs. Ohio

Rose Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Michigan
Fiesta Bowl: Texas vs. Boise State
Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. Florida
Sugar Bowl: Louisville vs. Arkansas
BCS Title Game: Southern Cal vs. Ohio State

Thursday, November 16, 2006

College Football - Week 12 Predictions

The week that the dynamic Disney duo of ABC and ESPN has been praying for has mercifully arrived. If I see one more breakdown of this game or hear the words "Judgement Day" uttered by one of the media pundits, I swear that I will vomit. Fortunately, for this college football fan, I won't be watching this 'classic' Big 10 showdown, because the best rivalry in college football - the Iron Bowl between Auburn and Alabama - is slated for the same time slot. I am almost tempted to not even make a prediction on the supposed "Game of the Year", but of course, I don't want to disappoint my loyal readers by not covering this clash of the titans. So with the national title race still a mess and many bowl games scrambling to fill their spots, here are this week's Total System Failure Week 12 predictions:

#2 Michigan at #1 Ohio State - Well, the day has finally arrived... #1 vs. #2. Of course, this game took an unexpected turn yesterday when former Michigan head coach Bo Schembachler passed away at the age of 77. Last night, I heard the pundits discussing how the passing of the legendary head coach will impact this battle between #1 and #2. In my opinion, it won't matter one bit. Michigan will come out onto the football with a lot of emotion, but once the first hit of the game is made, it will just be a football game between two rivals. Both teams have explosive offenses lead by veteran quarterbacks who have plenty of weapons from which to choose. Both teams have defenses ranked amongst the top eight in the country. Big games like this usually come down to special teams and home field advantage. Both teams have explosive return games and solid punters...but where Michigan has its advantage is in the field goal kicking department with senior Garrett Rivas (15 of 18 this year on field goal attempts). However, this game is in Columbus, Ohio, and Jim Tressel seems to have Lloyd Carr's number as the Buckeyes have won 4 of 5 against Michigan since Tressel become the head coach. Make it 5 out of 6....Ohio State 24 Michigan 17

#17 California at #4 Southern Cal - This is the other marquee game of Week 12. USC could move right back into the driver's seat for a spot in the national title game if it can knock of California. California played a less than inspired game last week at Arizona, and it was obvious that the Golden Bears were looking ahead to the Trojans. USC always seems to get California's best shot, and I expect that the Golden Bears will be focused on the task at hand in spite of last week's letdown. Behind Nate Longshore, the California passing attack is ranked #12 in the country in, and the Trojans are only ranked #63 against the pass. USC will be focused on stopping California's running back tandem of Lynch and Forsett, so it will be on Longshore to exploit the USC secondary. For the Trojans offense, it will be up to John David Booty and his bevy of receivers to win this game, because the USC running backs are banged up. The Golden Bears are ranked #112 against the pass this year, so Booty will be lighting up the scoreboard in the Coleisum....Southern Cal 35 California 20

#5 Arkansas at Mississippi State - There are not a lot of great games on the docket this week in the SEC, but this showdown in Starkville does has some implications on the national title race. Mississippi State is starting to show signs of life under Sly Croom, and quarterback Matt Henig has been red-hot over the past three games. While Mississippi State has been showing steady improvement recently, no team in the SEC is hotter than the Arkansas Razorbacks. Arkansas can lock up a spot in the SEC Championship Game with a win in Starkville, and although Mississippi State has pulled some shockers before when nationally ranked teams have come to Scott Field, the Bulldogs have not had to stop a running back tandem quite like Darren McFadden and Felix Jones. The #70 ranked defense in the country doesn't have a shot to slow these two running backs down...Arkansas 31 Mississippi State 14

#7 Rutgers at Cincinnati - Rutgers is now officially the hunted, and the question is how will they respond in a nationally televised road game in a hostile environment. This game has less to do with what type of team Cincinnati is than how Rutgers can handle all of the attention it has received since knocking off Louisville last week. Fortunately, for Rutgers, Greg Schiano has been around major programs and knows how to maintain focus. Also, with 23 seniors on the roster, Schiano has a strong nucleus of experienced players to help try and maintain the focus on the task at hand. Cincinnati has been solid this year. The Bearcats gave Ohio State, Virginia Tech, and Louisville all they wanted this year. Neither one of these teams are exactly offensive juggernauts as both teams are ranked between #75 and #80 in total offense, but Rutgers uses its defense and running game to win ballgames. Those two elements are always key in stealing road wins in any conference....Rutgers 17 Cincinnati 10

#19 Virginia Tech at #14 Wake Forest - Wake Forest just continues to disprove all of the doubters out there. I thought for sure that Florida State would dominate the Demon Deacons on a Saturday night in Doak Campbell Stadium, but it was Jim Grobe's team that did the dominating. You would think it is time to start giving Wake Forest the respect they deserve, but people (including myself) still have doubts, especially because a suddenly resurgent Virginia Tech team comes to Winston-Salem, NC this week. Wake Forest is #101 in total offense, and Virginia Tech has the #1 ranked defense in the country. Only two teams have scored more than 20 points against the Hokies this year (Georgia Tech and Boston College), and those are the two games that Frank Beamer's team have lost this year. Of course, it's not like Virginia Tech has an explosive offense either, but the difference in the defenses will be the key in this game...Virginia Tech 16 Wake Forest 9

#15 Auburn at Alabama - While the rest of the free world is watching Ohio State and Michigan battle for the national title in Columbus, Ohio, the entire state of Alabama will come to a stop to watch the Iron Bowl. Had Auburn won last week against Georgia, this game would mean a lot more, but today, this game is just about bragging rights for the next 365 days in a state where college football is all that matters. One stat that really jumped out at me this week is that Auburn leads the all-time series 11-2 in games played on the campuses of each team. Auburn is still yet to lose in Tuscaloosa, and the higher ranked team is 37-10 in the rivalry since 1955. All of this points to an Auburn victory, but something just seems missing from this Auburn team. There is just no leadership, no spark, and no desire. The defense is reeling, and the offense just does not have enough playmakers at wide receiver to keep the opposing defense honest. Alabama has a solid running game, a hot quarterback in John Parker Wilson, and an explosive receiving corps. Auburn's secondary was exploited by a freshman quarterback last week, and Alabama is much more talented at receiver and quarterback. Plus, I think Auburn has jinxed itself with all of this "Fear the Thumb" crap. Look for Alabama to give Auburn the finger...Alabama 20 Auburn 16

And now predictions for other games this week...

#3 Florida 63 Western Carolina 0
#6 Notre Dame 45 Army 10
#9 LSU 41 Ole Miss 6
#10 Louisville 28 South Florida 14
#12 Wisconsin 28 Buffalo 7
#13 Boise State 56 Utah State 10
#16 Oklahoma 28 Baylor 13
#18 Georgia Tech 31 Duke 14
#20 Boston College 17 #21 Maryland 10
#22 Tennessee 24 Vanderbilt 10
#23 Brigham Young 38 New Mexico 17
North Carolina State 20 North Carolina 13
Missouri 31 Iowa State 17
Oklahoma State 38 Texas Tech 35
Kansas State 24 Kansas 21
Purdue 20 Indiana 10
Iowa 28 Minnesota 14
Oregon 35 Arizona 20
Arizona State 42 UCLA 31
South Carolina 24 Middle Tennessee State 17
East Carolina 28 Rice 17

Note: Through 4 weeks of making predictions, season record is: 86-23 (0.788)



Tuesday, November 14, 2006

College Football - Week 11 Review

Random Musings on Week 11

Editors Note: With this being the start of Iron Bowl week in the state of Alabama, it only seems fitting to use one of the truly great unknown bands from the state as the inspiration for this week's musings...and that band is Birmingham's own Brother Cane.

1. Hard Act to Follow - I had assumed that most of my musings on anything related to Big East sports would occur during the heart of the college basketball season. However, the past two Thursday evenings, the college football world has been treated to back-to-back nationally televised games featuring Big East teams ranked amongst the top 15 teams in the country. The first week, we all had the opportunity to watch two high octane offenses do battle, and ultimately, Louisville was able to use its home crowd to its advantage and outlast West Virginia. The second straight Big East Thursday night showdown surely could not have lived up to the hype surrounding the first game, but the Rutgers victory over then #3 ranked Louisville lived up to the standard set by Louisville and West Virginia and then went past it. Rutgers did the job in a much different fashion...by playing good, hard nosed defense. It almost reminded me of a SEC defense. Rutgers head coach Greg Schiano is on the verge of creating something very special in New Brunswick, NJ. People had to think he was absolutely insane when he left the comforts of Butch Davis's University of Miami staff to take over the head coaching job at Rutgers, but now, after taking Rutgers to its first bowl game since the now defunct Garden State Bowl in 1978, Schiano has Rutgers on the verge of a BCS bowl game. With a stout defense and the dynamic running back duo of Brian Leonard and Ray Rice, this Rutgers team may not challenge for the national title, but it can certainly announce itself as a program on the rise. So now that Rutgers has officially put itself on the college football map with its first win over a ranked opponent since 1988 and a spot in the Top 10, the question is....how will Rutgers handle being the hunted rather than the hunter? Tough road games at Cincinnait this week and at West Virginia to end the season will give the Scarlet Knights plenty of opportunity to prove their worth, and any team with a defense and rushing attack like Rutgers has will certainly have a shot to defeat an opponent.

2. And Fools Shine On - Arkansas head coach Houston Nutt has never been considered as having one of the more stable personalities amongst his coaching colleagues around the country....in some circles, he might even be considered a fool. Sure, Coach Nutt is a little off his rocker, and his inability to get the Razorbacks to bowl games in 2004 and 2005 put him squarely on the hot seat heading into the 2006 season. A 50-14 home loss to Southern Cal to open the 2006 season gave the Arkansas faithful ample ammunition to start up on-line petitions to fire the resident fool of Fayetteville. However, since surviving close calls against Vanderbilt and Alabama, Houston Nutt has not only turned the season around for Razorbacks and saved his own job, but he now has Arkansas squarely in the race for the BCS Title Game...that is, if you believe the Total System Failure bowl projections! Saturday night's thorough domination of Tennessee on ESPN proved to the college football world that this Razorback team and its crazy coach are the real deal. I will be the first to say it - Darren McFadden is the best running back in America, and in my opinion, is the best college football player in America. He should win the Heisman, if you ask me, but alas, I don't have a vote. Here's the reason that I think McFadden should win the Heisman...it doesn't matter who plays quaterback for the Razorbacks - Dick or Mustain - they just keep rolling right along. McFadden is single handedly carrying this team, and oh yeah, he is only a sophomore. Arkansas will clinch a spot in Atlanta on Saturday when the Razorbacks will drill Mississippi State in Starville, and the resident fool of Fayetteville may just laugh his crazy ass all the way to Glendale, Arizona.

3. Pressure - Georgia Tech fans are used to their team letting them down. My buddy MJ at work told me after Georgia Tech was thumped by Clemson a few weeks ago that Georgia Tech blowing it on the national stage is just expected by all true Tech fans. So you've got to believe that the Yellow Jacket faithful were sweating profusely watching their team try to clinch a spot in the ACC Championship Game against a lowly North Carolina team. Fortunately, on this occassion, the Yellow Jackets were able to survive with a pathetic 7-0 victory over a North Carolina team that has yet to win a game this season against a Division I opponent. As he has done throughout his four years on the Flats, Georgia Tech senior quarterback Reggie Ball lost his accuracy, and the big play passing attack for the Jackets was non-existent against a statistically solid Tar Heel pass defense (ranked #34 nationally against the pass). For the game, Ball was a mere 10 of 24 passing for a total of 78 yards. Although the Tech passing attack was slowed by the Tar Heel defense, running back Tashard Choice gained 119 yards on the ground and toted the ball over 30 times. If the Jackets want to claim the ACC title this year and play in a BCS bowl game, then offensive coordinator (and former Auburn quarterback) Pat Nix is going to have to get consistent offensive production from Reggie Ball and the Tech passing game. Georgia Tech only ranks 76th in the country in total offense, but the telling statistic is that the Jackets are ranked 97th in passing with a senior quarterback and the best wide receiver in college football. Tech's offensive woes won't matter much this weekend against Duke, but if the Jackets want to win in Athens against Georgia and then in Jacksonville against the ACC Atlantic Division champion, Reggie Ball is going to have to be able to handle the pressure of quarterbacking a championship team.

4. Hung on a Rope - Well, the 2006 college football season has claimed yet another victim amongst Division I head coaches. Michigan State's John L. Smith and North Carolina's John Bunting were the first casualties this year, and now Iowa State Dan McCarney has joined them as ex-head coaches. McCarney resigned from his position at Iowa State after 12 years in Ames, Iowa and while the Cyclones have struggled this year (3-7 overall, 0-6 in Big 12 play), McCarney being forced to resign is a joke. Prior to Dan McCarney becoming the head coach at Iowa State in 1994, the Cycylones had not been to a bowl game since the 1978 Hall of Fame Bowl. After taking six years to build the Iowa State football program to respectability, McCarney took Iowa State to its first bowl game in 22 years after the 2000 sesaon. Since the 2000 season, Iowa State, a team that had only been to 4 bowl games in its history prior to McCarney becoming head coach, has been to 5 bowl games. So this begs the question of why would Iowa State fire a head coach that has more than doubled the number of bowl appearances in school history during his 12 year tenure? Sure, McCarney had a less than stellar overall record (55-84 through Week 11 of the 2006 season), but the strength of the past 5 years should have bought McCarney at least one down season. I believe that the answer is that athletic diretor Jamie Pollard is a little trigger happy...he's fired three head coaches of Iowa State athletic teams in the past year! Dan McCarney deserved better from Iowa State.

5. The Last Time - It had been almost one year to the day since the Stanford Cardinal won a football game when Walt Harris's team took the field this past Saturday against the University of Washington. Having surrended over 20 points a game in their previous 9 games and being ranked 101th in total defense, not even the most hardcore Stanford fan would have guessed that the Cardinal could beat Washington. After all, this was a Washington team that had almost upset California without its star quarterback (and Total System Failure cult hero) Isaiah Stanbeck. To make matters worse, Stanford has the 118th ranked offense in the country...and yes, there are 119 teams in Division I football...and was without starting quarterback Trent Edwards. In spite of all of those strikes against them, Stanford was able to pull off a shocking 20-3 upset over the once might Huskies and avoid becoming the first team in Pac-10 history to finish the season with a 0-12 record. The 101th ranked defense in the country held the Washington offense to a mere 161 yards of total offense and forced three turnovers, one of which was returned for a touchdown. Walt Harris still has a long way to go to restore some pride to the Stanford football program, but at least for one Saturday, Stanford fans could feel the joy of victory and stop trying to recall the last time they felt that way.

6. Don't Turn Your Back on Me - After having its Pac-10 win streak snapped in Corvallis, Oregon of all places, it appeared that the Southern California Trojans were on the verge of being out of the national title picture for the first time in 4 years. At the time of Oregon State's upset win over the Trojans, there were a bevy of undefeated and one loss teams ahead of Pete Carroll's team. Then, upsets hit some of the nation's best teams...Louisville went down at Rutgers. Georgia waltzed into Jordan-Hare Stadium and dominated Auburn. Arizona shocked California in Tuscon. All of a suddent, Southern Cal was right back in the #3 spot in the BCS rankings and in great position to play against the winner of Ohio State-Michigan for the national championship. Since losing to Oregon State, the Trojans have dominated Stanford and Oregon by a combined score of 77-10. Of course, there is nothing to brag about when you beat Stanford 42-0, but this past weekend's 35-10 victory over Oregon, definitely brought the spotlight back to the USC football team. While I do not believe that many people thought that Oregon could actually pull off the upset, it was shocking to see just how badly they were beaten by the Trojans. The vaunted Oregon rushing attack was held to 2.6 yards per carry, and the Ducks' star running back Jonathan Stewart was held to only 42 yards on 14 carries. Oregon won the turnover battle 3 to 2 and won the time of possession battle by over 7 minutes, but it wasn't enough to beat the Trojans. The bottomline is that just when we all thought we were going to get a break from the USC dynasty they've moved back into the national title race again. Maybe California or Notre Dame can do all college football fans outside of southern California a favor and prevent the Trojans from playing in a fourth straight national title game.

7. Rise on Water - Late Saturday evening, the head coaches, athletic directors, and boosters from major college football conferences were not focused on the developments in the LSU-Alabama game, the Tennessee-Arkansas game, or even the USC-Oregon game. All eyes were on the scoring updates for the Boise State vs. San Jose State game. $14 million dollars to a major conference was on the line if San Jose State could knock Boise State from the ranks of the unbeaten and prevent the potential WAC champion from stealing a BCS bowl slot. It took a huge late fourth quarter punt return by Boise State's Marty Tadman for the Broncos to rise up after trailing the entire game to the Spartans of San Jose State. After Tadman's 44 yard punt return to the 37 yard line of San Jose State, Jared Zabransky and the Boise State offense kept the ball for the final two minutes of the game and moved to 10-0 on the season with a last second field goal to escape with 22-20 victory. Boise State is now two games away from crashing the BCS party and clinching a spot in the Fiesta Bowl. All that stands in the way of Boise State and the $14 million pot of gold are a home game on the smurf turf against 1-9 Utah State team and a trip to Reno to battle the 7-3 Wolfpack of Nevada. I'm sure that there will be more than a few eyes around the country will be watching the scoring updates from Reno on Thanksgiving weekend, and everyone outside of Boise, Idaho will be hoping that the Broncos won't be able to rise up and rally to stay unbeaten.

8. I Lie in the Bed I Make - Bobby Bowden has no one to blame but himself. When Mark Richt left to become the head coach at the University of Georgia, Coach Bowden decided to play the nepotism card and name his son Jeff as the new offensive coordinator. That decision sent the Florida State offense into a steady decline that finally hit rock bottom against Wake Forest on Saturday night in Tallahassee. With Wake Forest's 30-0 victory over the Seminoles, Florida State was shutout for the first time since the opening game of the 1988 football season. Even more revealing was that this was the first shutout of Bobby Bowden coached Florida State in Doak Campbell Stadium.. That covers a 31 year period! Florida State's offense is ranked 65th in the nation this year and averages 338 yards of total offense each game. Just as a point of comparison, in Mark Richt's final year as the Florida State offensive coordinator, the Seminoles averaged over 549 yards of total offense each game. We all know that Florida State is still recruiting the same talented players to Tallahassee, so the obvious answer is that Jeff Bowden is problem with the Seminoles' offense. With an over $500,000 offer by alumni to buyout his contract and on-line petition for his removal gaining more support, Jeff Bowden saved his father the public disgrace of having to fire his son by resigning this week...giving hope to Florida State fans everywhere that their offense might one day exhibit some firepower and avoid shutouts to teams like Wake Forest.

9. Come Alive Again - The last the college football world saw of the Arizona football program was the thorough domination of the Wildcats by LSU back in the second week of the season. After the performance, the buzz surrounding the rebuilding job Mike Stoops is doing at Arizona went silent. All talk regarding a return to prominence for Arizona really disappeared when the Wildcats went on to lose 4 of their 6 games after the LSU game. Arizona started to show some signs of life with a win over Washington State two weeks ago, but no one gave them much a chance to knock off Cal this past Saturday. However, the Arizona defense caused three turnovers and held the #34 ranked rushing attack in the nation to a mere 106 yards, and the Wildcats shocked the BCS hopeful Golden Bears 24-20 in Tuscson. In addition to knocking Lee Corso's national title pick out of the picture, Arizona has positioned itself for a bowl game by getting back to 0.500 on the season with a record of 5-5, but reaching a bowl game is not going to be easy. The Wildcats last two games include a road trip to Eugene, Oregon to battle the Ducks and then a home date with their in-state rival Arizona State. The Wildcats have not played in a bowl game since the 1998 season when they defeated Nebraska 23-20 in the Holiday Bowl, and while this season may not end with a bowl berth, Mike Stoops is on the verge of bringing the Arizona program back to life after the embarrassment of the John Mackovic era of Arizona football.

10. That Don't Satisfy Me - I put off writing about what I witnessed in Jordan-Hare Stadium this past Saturday as long as I could. I even thought about not including anything on Auburn's pathetic performance against Georgia in this week's musings, but that just wouldn't be proper. The gutless, heartless performance by Tommy Tuberville's Tigers needs to be pointed out and addressed. Of course, if you listen to the sycophants on the Inside the Auburn Tigers premium message board, you'll hear that the 2006 season can be saved by defeating a 6-5 Alabama football team. To quote Damon Johnson's most famous Brother Cane song....THAT DON'T SATISFY ME! What I saw firsthand on Saturday proved to me that just being an ordindary solid 9 win (and possibly a ten win season) team and not a true championship team does satisfy this Auburn football team, because there was absolutely no fire, no heart, no desire. The excuses for the performance are plentiful and can be spouted off by any sunshine pumping Auburn sycophants...Brandon Cox isn't a 100 percent....Kenny Irons hasn't been healthy since the LSU game...starting safety Eric Brock was out with a sprained ankle. However, those same Auburn fans will fail to mention that the Auburn defense yielded over 225 yards rushing to the #64 ranked rushing attack in the country. They will also fail to tell you that the overhyped cornerback tandem of Jonathan Wilhite and David Irons allowed a true freshman quaterback that had 51% completion percentage coming into the game to complete 70% of his passes. Did I mention that this particular freshman quarterback had thrown 8 interceptions in the three games prior to the Auburn game? It was truly a disgraceful performance, and I wish Tommy Tuberville would strip the 'AUs' of the helmets of this Auburn football team until they have earned the right to wear them again. A victory over Alabama doesn't mean anything outside the state of Alabama, and it's time that Auburn fans realize that being the best team in the state is not as important as it was in the 1970s and 1980s. Alabama has not been an upper echleon program since the early 1990s. It is time for Auburn fans to demand true excellence from its football program and not tolerate performances like the Arkansas and Georgia games of this 2006 season. What scares me, though, is that the 2004 season was just an anamoly, and we are witnessing the real Auburn progam under the direction of Tommy Tuberville...good, but not great. And for this Auburn fan, THAT DON'T SATISFY ME!
And now, one man's attempt to rank the Top 25 teams in the country....
1. Ohio State
2. Michigan
3. Arkansas
4. Southern Cal
5. Rutgers
6. Florida
7. Notre Dame
8. LSU
9. Texas
10. Louisville
11. West Virginia
12. Auburn
13. Wake Forest
14. Boise State
15. California
16. Wisconsin
17. Oklahoma
18. Georgia Tech
19. Virginia Tech
20. Tennessee
21. Maryland
22. Boston College
23. Clemson
24. Brigham Young
25. Houston